IAU Colloquium No. 197 Dynamics of Populations of Planetary Systems August 31 - September 4, 2004 Belgrade, Serbia and Montenegro

Scientific Organizing Committee: Z. Knezevic (Serbia and Montenegro) and A. Milani (Italy) (Co-chairmen), Joseph A. Burns (USA), Rudolf Dvorak (Austria), Sylvio Ferraz-Mello (Brazil), Claude Froeschle (France), John D. Hadjidemetriou (Greece), Anne Lemaitre (Belgium), Vladimir Porubcan (Slovakia), Giovanni B. Valsecchi (Italy)

Local Organizing Committee: Ivan Pakvor (Chair), Milan Cirkovic, Rade Pavlovic, Slavica Pavic, Ivana Damjanov, Natasa Todorovic

Contact address:

Venue: Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Belgrade, Bulevar Kralja Aleksandra 73

Scientific rationale: The progress in computing results in the possibility to compute numerically the orbit of a single celestial object in almost all problems, even when there are close approaches and in other highly unstable cases. This has, however, only moved forward the frontiers of research in Dynamical Astronomy. Now the goal is to study the dynamical behavior of entire populations of celestial bodies, either real (observed) or only hypothetical (simulated). Thus the contributions need to focus their presentations both on the populations (such as asteroids, comets, meteors; dust particles and rings; swarms of planetesimals; space debris; extra solar planets; virtual objects expressing the uncertainty of orbit determination) and on the methods and theoretical tools (analytical theories; chaotic diffusion; non gravitational perturbations; family classification; population modeling and transport; symplectic integration; graphic representation of the results) which can be used for one or more population. A more extensive scientific rationale and a list of suggested topics are available on the web site.

PRELIMINARY PROGRAMME :

SESSION 1 - Tuesday 16:00 OPENING SESSION

Sylvio Ferraz Mello
invited
Resonance and Stability of Extra-solar Planetary Systems

Alessandro Morbidelli
invited
Asteroid population models

Hans Rickman
invited
Transport of comets to the inner solar system

SESSION 2 Wednesday 09:00 EXTRASOLAR PLANETARY SYSTEMS

Andrzej Maciejewsky
invited
Fitting orbits

Fred Adams
invited
Formation and migration of extrasolar planets

Jacques Henrard
Planetary Three-body Problem Revisited

Rudolf Dvorak
Our Solar System as model for Exosolar Planetary Systems

SESSION 3 Wednesday 11:00 COMETS

Gonzalo Tancredi, J. Virtanen and K. Muinonen
The Transfer from the TransNeptunian Region to the Jupiter Family of Comets

Arika Higuchi
Transport of Comets to the Outer Planetary System

Giovanni-Federico Gronchi
The computation of the MOID for cometary orbits

Vacheslav Emel'yanenko
Dynamical evolution of comets from high-eccentricity trans-Neptunian orbits to near-Earth space

Lubos Neslusan
The distributions of angular elements of new comets

Piotr A. Dybczynski
Long term dynamical evolution of the Oort cloud comets: galactic and planetary perturbations

SESSION 4 Wednesday 15:00 EXTRASOLAR PLANETARY SYSTEMS

Ji-Lin Zhou
invited
Dynamical Evolution of Extrosolar Planetary Systems

Eiichiro Kokubo
invited
Dynamics of Planetesimals

John Hadjidemetriou and D. Psychoyos
Dynamics of Resonant Extrasolar Systems: 5/2 and 7/3 Resonances

Evgeny Griv
Formation of the Solar System by Gravitational Instability

SESSION 5 Wednesday 17:00 SPACE DEBRIS

Alessandro Rossi
invited
Population models for space debris

Ernesto Vieira Neto
The Orbital Evolution of Space Debris Particles Cloud at GPS Altitudes

Vasile Mioc, M. Anisiu and M. Stavinschi
Symmetric periodic orbits in proto-stellar systems

Elke Pilat-Lohinger
Planetary motion in double star systems: The influence of the secondary

Daniel Benest
Planetary orbits in double stars : Infuence of the binary's orbital eccentricity

SESSION 6 Thursday 09:00 ASTEROID BELTS (MAIN)

Fernando Roig
invited
Asteroid Proper Elements: Recent Computational Progress and Impact of Mass Production

Anne Lemaitre
invited
Family Classification from Very Large Catalogs

Hans Scholl
The Mars Trojans may be some of the oldest small asteroids in the terrestrial planet region

Mikael Granvik
Asteroid identification at discovery

SESSION 7 Thursday 11:00 ASTEROID BELTS (NEA)

Andrea Milani
invited
Virtual Asteroids and Virtual Impactors

Giovanni B. Valsecchi
The size of collision solutions in orbital elements space

Jenni Virtanen
Asteroid impact risk assessment at discovery: The case of 2004 AS1

Steven R. Chesley
Impact Probabilities from Single Night Asteroid Detections

Giacomo Tommei
Nonlinear impact monitoring:1-Dimensional or 2-Dimensional sampling of confidence region?

SESSION 8 Friday 09:00 ASTEROID BELTS (DIFFUSION)

Harry Varvoglis
invited
Diffusion in the asteroid belt

Claude Froeschle
Numerical Evidence of global Arnold Diffusion in quasi-integrable Hamiltonian Systems

Massimiliano Guzzo
On the determination of mixed resonances in the Solar System

Slobodan Ninkovic and Zoran Knezevic
Reliability of Lyapunov Characteristic Exponents Computed over Finite Intervals of Time

Li-Chin Yeh
The Chaotic Orbits and Formation of Kirkwood Gaps

SESSION 9 Friday 11:00 ASTEROID BELTS (FORMATION)

Hal Levison
invited
Interaction of planetesimals with the giant planets and the shaping of the transneptunian belt

Kleomenis Tsiganis
Non-steady migration of the outer planets: Effects on the inner solar system

Ing-Guey Jiang
On the Resonant Capture of Kuiper Belt Objects

Matija Cuk
Resonances Near the Orbit of 2003 VB12 (Sedna)

Thomas Kotoulas and G. Voyatzis
Bifurcations of periodic orbits and potential stability regions in Kuiper belt dynamics

SESSION 10 Friday 15:00 NON GRAVITATIONAL PERTURBATIONS

Steven R. Chesley
invited
Nongravitational Perturbations on Comets

David Vokrouhlicky
invited
Non-Gravitational Perturbations and the Evolution of the Asteroid Main Belt

David Chapek
Yakovsky effect determination in complex circumstances

M. Broz, D. Vokrouhlicky, A. Morbidelli, D. Nesvorny, F. Roig
Yarkovsky-driven origin of the unstable population of asteroids in the 2:1 mean motion resonance with Jupiter

SESSION 11 Friday 17:00 METEORITES AND COLLISIONS IN THE ASTEROID BELT

William Bottke
invited
Origin and transport of meteorites

Patrick Michel
Collisions between asteroids at the catastrophic disruption threshold

Sergei Ipatov and J. C. Mather
Migration of small bodies and dust to the terrestrial planets

David P. O'Brien and R. Greenberg
The Collisional and Dynamical Evolution of the Main-Belt, NEA and TNO Populations

Christos Efthymiopoulos
Formal Integrals and Nekhoroshev Stability for the Trojan Asteroids

SESSION 12 Saturday 09:00 METEORS

David J. Asher
invited
The dynamical structure of meteor streams and meteor shower predictions

Galina Ryabova
A mathematical model of the Geminid meteoroid stream

Vjera Miovic and S. Nedeljkovic
Forward-Scattering of Meteors: A Digital Way

Stefan Gajdos and V. Porubcan
Bolide meteor streams

Ferenc Szenkovits , E. Garda-Matyas, Z. Mako and I. Csillik
Necessary Conditions of the Capture and Applications to the NEAs

SESSION 13 Saturday 11:00 DUST

Mark Wyatt
invited
The Origin and Evolution of Dust Belts

Josef Klacka and M. Kocifaj
Invariant of motion for interstellar dust captured in the Solar System

Miroslav Kocifaj, J. Klacka and H. Horvath
Nonspherical dust in exterior resonances with Neptune

Alex Rosaev
Some effects of gravity interactions between ring’s particles on the structure of planetary rings

Edouard D. Kouznetsov and K. V. Kholshevnikov
Behaviour of a Two-Planetary System on a cosmogonic time-scale

POSTERS

Ernesto Vieira Neto
The Use of the Two-Body Energy to Study Problems of Escape/Capture

Galina Ryabova, I.P. Williams, A.P. Baturin and A.M. Chernitsov
Asteroid 2003 EH1 and the Quadrantid meteoroid stream

Galina Ryabova
On the dynamical consequences of the Poynting-Robertson drag caused by solar wind

Eugene Poliakow
Numerical Modelling of the Paleotidal Evolution of the Earth-Moon System

Yu. V. Barkin, J.M. Ferrandiz
Tide elastic energy in planetary systems and its dynamical role

Yu. V. Barkin, J.M. Ferrandiz, V.G. Vilke
Celestial Mechanics of planet shells

Masaya Masayoshi Saito
Rectilinear three-body problem using symbolic dynamics

Alex Rosaev
Notes to Jupiter and Saturn irregular satellite breakup reconstruction

Kailash C. Sahu
A Planetary Transit Survey towards the Galactic Bulge Using HST

Denis L. Gorshanov, N. A. Shakht, E. V. Polyakov, A. A. Kisselev
Observations of 61 Cygni at Pulkovo with 65 cm refractor

Natalia Shakht
Astrometric observations of 51 Peg and Gliese 623 at Pulkovo observatory with 65 cm refractor

Zoltán Makó, I. Csillik, F. Szenkovits and E. Garda-Matyas
Classification of NEAs with Artificial Neuronal Network

Rodica Roman
The Restricted Three-Body Problem. Comments on the Photogravitational Effect

Aleksandar Tomic and Dj. Koruga
Asteroid belt and dynamical arrangement of the Solar System to the neighbouring star and background radiation

Tapan Chatterjee
Orbital Evolution of Planetesimals to Planets

Stefan Berinde
Searching for gravity assisted trajectories to accessible near-Earth asteroids

Stéphane Valk
Early warnings and shooting stars for too short arcs

Galina Ryabova
On the dynamical consequences of the Poynting-Robertson drag caused by solar wind

Sasa Nedeljkovic, V. Miovic, D. Milisavljevic, B.C. Netterfield and U. Pen
Detection of meteors with a digital RF spectrometer: A Science Overview

Alvaro Alvarez-Candal
The role of Resonance Stickiness in the dynamical transfer of comets to the Asteroid Belt

Miguel de Val Borro
Disk instabilities and vorticity generation by giant planets in disks

Miguel de Val Borro
High resolution accretion flow onto planets embedded in protoplanetary disks

Benoît Noyelles
The k:k+4 resonances in planetary systems

Milan M. Cirkovic
Boundaries of the Habitable Zone: Unifying Dynamics, Astrophysics and Astrobiology

Mihailo Cubrovic
Regimes of Stability and Scaling Relations for the Removal Time in the Asteroid Belt: A Simple Kinetic Model and Numerical Tests

Pawel Kankiewicz
The motion and stability of some large-eccentricity Near-Earth Asteroids

Pavol Pastor and J. Klacka
Poynting-Robertson effect and capture of grains in exterior resonances with planets

Michal Kocer
KLENOT -- Near Earth and Other unusual objects observations

Dionyssia Psychoyos
Dynamics of 2/1 Resonant systems: Application to HD 82943

Edi Bon and M. M. Cirkovic
Archaeo-catastrophicism

Andjelka Kovacevic and M. Kuzmanoski
Masses of (1) Ceres and (4) Vesta derived from new close encounters

Slobodan Ninkovic and V. Trajkovska
A mass estimate for a sample of nearby stars

Dragomir Olevic and Z. Cvetkovic
The Absolute-Magnitude Distribution for Asteroids as Function of Kinetic Momentum and Jacobi's Constant

K. Muinonen, J. Virtanen, M. Granvik and T. Laakso
Statistical inversion of orbits for moderately observed asteroids

Florian Freistetter
Recurrent Ordered Motion in Chaotic Systems

Mikael Granvik
Statistical inversion of exoplanet orbits using radial velocity data

Teemu Laakso
Protective effect of giant planets

Josef Durech
433 EROS - Comparison of Times of Lightcurve extrema from 1901-1938 with the actual rotation states

Rade Pavlovic
The Fulfillment of Geometrical Condition for Application of the Theorem of Nekhoroshev in Koronis Family

Goran Damljanovic and N. Pejovic
Improved Proper Motions of some Hipparcos Stars via Long Term Classical Observations

COLLOQUIUM FORMAT:

There will be 30 min invited talks and 15 min contributed talks.Times include discussion. There will also be poster sessions. Constraints on the poster size will be provided soon. You are kindly requested to submit your abstract by June 1st, 2004.

COLLOQUIUM SCHEDULE :

Coffee-breaks and Posters : 10.30 - 11 and 16.30 - 17 every working day.

All sessions will be held in the Ceremonial Hall of the Faculty of Civil Engineering. Video beam, overhead projectors and slide projectors will be available. If you have special requests, please let us know well in advance to ensure a successful solution. PC, e-mail and internet access as well as photo-copying machine will also be available.

The language of IAU Coll. 197 will be English.

The proceedings will be published as refereed papers in a volume of the IAU Colloquia series, to appear not later than six months after the meeting. The authors will be requested to bring the manuscript to the meeting, and will have a maximum of 4 weeks after the meeting to revise it.

Grants from the IAU are available to support a number of participants. The participants requiring a grant must apply using IAU official Application form which can be found on web page grants . The Form must be sent by mail (Dr Zoran Knezevic, Volgina 7, 11160 Belgrade 74, Serbia and Montenegro) or fax (+ 381 11 2419 553) not later than April 1, 2004.

Registration: Please fill in Registration form provided at web page registrationform

The registration fee is 180 euro provided it is paid not later than June 1, 2004, or 200 euro for late registration. This includes a copy of the proceedings, the abstract book, the other material distributed to participants, and the administrative costs. Registration fee for accompanying persons is 80 euro if is paid not later than June 1, 2004, or 100 euro for late registration and includes free participation to all excursions organized for accompanying persons.
Payment of registration fee ( participants and accompanying persons) can be done only by bank transfer direct to Komercijalna Banka AD Beograd, Serbia and Montenegro, Account number : 5443-07084650, Name : "Drustvo astronoma Srbije" , quoting "for Coll 197". All bank costs to be borne by the ordering party.

Deadlines:

Accommodation: For all information and arrangements related to accommodation and hotel bookings, participants can contact travel agency FIN TRAVEL CLUB , 11000 Belgrade, Kosovska 51, Serbia and Montenegro,Tel: + 381 11 3347 640, Fax: + 381 11 3347 644, e-mail: office@fintravelclub.co.yu

The participants who prefer to stay in student dormitory (11-12 euro per night) are kindly requested to contact directly Local Organizing Committee. At the Student Dormitory only double rooms are available, so please indicate in the Registration Form the name of the other participant with whom you would be prepared to share the room. Please note that hotels Metropol, Slavija, Park as well as Student Dormitory are within walking distance (5-10 min) from Faculty of Civil Engineering, where the meeting is held.

Meals:

Breakfast is included at the rate of your room and will be served in your hotel. An optional lunch will be organized only for participants and accompanying persons in the vicinity of the meeting venue. The price will be given in the Final Program.

Closing dinner:

Closing dinner will be held on Friday , Sept. 3. Price will be given in the Final Program. If you wish to attend please indicate this in the Registration Form.

Accompanying program:

Program will include a Belgrade Sight-seeing Tour, excursions to nearby interesting sights, excursion to the naive painters village, fashion shows, shopping tours and folklore performance. A definite schedule will be given in the Final Program. These excursions and shows are free of charge for the registered accompanying persons only.

Travel to Belgrade:

The Belgrade International Airport is located some 20 km from the City of Belgrade. There is a regular bus service from/to airport to/from the town Terminal, in front of the Hotel "Slavija". Taxis and international car rental services are available at the airport as well as in town. From the major European cities there is a daily direct rail and bus service to Belgrade.
You can also come to Belgrade by car. There is an underground parking lot near the conference venue (15 Dinars per hour).

Visa formalities:

For the citizens of practically all European countries, USA., Canada , Australia, New Zealand, most of South America countries (except Brazil) an entry visa is not required. For some Eastern European countries (Russia, Ukraine, etc.) an invitation letter might be necessary; it can be sent, upon request, by LOC. Citizens of other countries are kindly requested to contact the nearest Serbian and Montenegro Consulate in their countries for the information about visa formalities. Please consult web page http://www.mfa.gov.yu for necessary visa information.
A valid passport is in all cases required.

Language:

In Belgrade Serbian language is in official use. Both , Cyrillic and Latin alphabet are common. English, is spoken by many people on the streets and shops and it is compulsory in hotels, tourist offices and airport.

Money:

The Serbian currency is Dinar. The notes in use are 5000, 1000, 200, 100, 50, 20 and 10 and coins are 20, 10, 5, 2, and 1 Dinar and 50 paras (1/100). At the present moment the approx. rate of exchange is 68 Dinars per 1 Euro. Participants may change their convertible currencies in dinars in all hotels, banks, exchange offices , travel agencies and airport. The rates are very similar everywhere. Major international credit cards such as Visa, Master Card, and Diners Club are generally accepted by hotels, airlines, travel agencies, restaurants and many department stores and shops.

Time:

In September in Serbia and Montenegro the Central European Summer time is in use. It means GMT +2.

Weather and clothes:

The weather in September is likely to be fairly mild and warm, with perhaps very rare showers. The most suitable clothing for this time of the year would be light-weight clothes.

Excursions:

Numerous Belgrade locations are attractive for excursions because of their natural beauty and, in many cases of their historical and cultural importance. Among many available excursions LOC is planning to organize a half-day tour to National Park of Fruska Gora with visit to some famous monasteries and very picturesque town of Novi Sad. On Sunday, Sept. 5, a full-day excursion to South-west of Serbia with visit to some well-known monasteries is planned to be organized. Excursions are optional and their price will be given in Final Program.
Other destinations, such as Oplenac, the Iron Gates at Djerdap (Danube), naive painters village Kovacica, monument of Unknown Soldier at Avala etc. are also available.
Before and after the Colloquium 197, a visit to Montenegro and Adriatic coast is also very attractive and possible to organize.

Main astronomical institutes in Belgrade:

• Belgrade Astronomical Observatory, Volgina 7, 11160 Belgrade 74, SCG Tel: + 381 11 2419 553
• Department of Astronomy, Mathematical Faculty, Belgrade University, Studentski trg 16, 11000 Belgrade, SCG, Tel +381 11 638 715
• People's Observatory, Kalemegdan, 11000 Belgrade , SCG, Tel +381 11 3283 745

About Belgrade and Serbia:

Please consult the web page: links

Milutin Milankovitch Anniversary Symposium:

Please note that from August 30 to September 2, 2004 another meeting of interest will be held in Belgrade. It is the Milutin Milankovitch Anniversary Symposium: PALEOCLIMATE AND THE EARTH CLIMATE SYSTEM organized by Serbian Academy of Science and Arts. Registered participants of the IAU Colloquium 197 can follow the lectures at the Milutin Milankovitch Anniversary Symposium without paying the Symposium fee.

Warm welcome!

Any questions please send to: zoran@aob.bg.ac.rs